Wednesday, July 23, 2008
 


WIMBLEDON RETROSPECTIVE  - By Steve Flink

 

It has been almost three weeks since Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer battled so gallantly and unwaveringly in the final of Wimbledon. They played a match that must rank right up there with the best of all time. At the end of 1999, I wrote a book entitled, “The Greatest Tennis Matches of the Twentieth Century”. My top five men’s matches were as follows: 1) Borg-McEnroe 1980 Wimbledon final; 2) Don Budge-Baron Gottfried von Cramm Davis Cup 1937; 3) Ken Rosewall-Rod Laver, WCT Finals, Dallas, 1972; 4) Pancho Gonzalez-Charlie Pasarell, Wimbledon, 1969; 5) Henri Cochet-Bill Tilden, Wimbledon, 1927.

Assessing the best matches ever nearly ten years later, I would place Nadal-Federer in a virtual tie with the epic Borg-McEnroe 1980 Wimbledon title round match. The Borg-McEnroe skirmish turned into a masterpiece between a baseliner who adapted his game admirably for the grass, and a singularly gifted serve-and-volleyer who exhibited supreme touch on the volley. That match took a while to warm up into something larger. McEnroe swarmed all over Borg at the outset and took the first set 6-1. Borg fought back sedulously to win the second 7-5, and then took the third relatively comfortably at 6-3.

When Borg served for the match at 5-4 in the fourth set, he led 40-15, double match point. Somehow, McEnroe escaped and broke back. They moved on to a tie-break, and McEnroe saved five more match points in that unimaginable sequence. Borg saved six set points. The tennis was the best by far that the match produced. McEnroe took that tie-break 18-16 to force a fifth set. Borg conceded later how much despondency he felt as he served in the opening game of that final set. He went down 0-30, but with typical composure and resilience, Borg served his way out of it.

From that juncture on, Borg put on the serving display of his career, winning 28 of 29 points on his delivery across the fifth set. But McEnroe’s fighting spirit kept him in the contest. The great left-hander held from 0-40 in the second game of the fifth set. He held on again from 0-40 at 3-4. But with his back to the wall once more at 6-7, Borg would not allow the American to escape. With a vintage two-handed backhand pass crosscourt, Borg prevailed 1-6, 7-5, 6-3, 6-7, 8-6.

That match will be cherished for the almost magical tie-break. And there was some very high quality stuff played the rest of the way, particularly in the third and fifth sets. But Nadal and Federer waged five sets that always hung in the balance. On paper, the first two sets make it seem as if Nadal was in comfortable control. He took both sets 6-4. But neither was easy by any means. Nadal had to fend off a break point at 5-4 in the first set as he served it out. And he had to battle from 1-4 down in the second, winning five games in a row for a two set to love lead.

Those were two extraordinary sets, but the standard of play would only be elevated over the last three sets. Federer was down 0-40 at 3-3 in the third set. Had he been broken there, the match might well have ended in a straight set verdict for the Spaniard. But the Swiss maestro coolly worked his way out of that corner. The players had to leave the court for a rain delay with Nadal ready to serve at 4-5. When they returned, they played a tie-break to settle that set, and Federer was irresistibly good, serving four aces, not giving up a single point on his delivery. Federer took that playoff seven points to five.

In the fourth set, Nadal regained the initiative in many ways and held on throughout the set with greater ease than Federer. In six service games, Nadal conceded only six points. And then he seemingly had the match well within his reach. He was serving with a 5-2 lead, poised to capture the championship he values above all others. But at 5-2, he double faulted off the net cord. He followed with a tentative point, as Federer forced him into an errant backhand. Nadal should have--- at the very least--- reached triple match point after serving those two points. Instead, an opportunistic and determined Federer was back in the tie-break.

Federer served his way to a 6-5 lead, reaching set point on Nadal’s serve. But the Spaniard took two points in a row to reach match point for the first time. Federer sent out a brilliant wide serve to Nadal’s forehand in the advantage court, and the No. 2 seed barely made contact with the ball. It was 7-7. Nadal then raced swiftly to his left for an astonishing forehand passing shot winner down the line. He was at match point for the second time, this one on his own serve.

He sliced his first serve out wide to the Federer backhand, and the Swiss chipped a return short near the service line. Nadal was too cautious, rolling his forehand approach crosscourt and closing in, figuring the pressure was on his adversary to come up with a brilliant backhand passing shot. Federer did just that, lacing his backhand down the line for a clean winner. It was 8-8. Federer had saved two match points. Two points later, he wrapped up the set, and was back to two sets all.

At 2-2 in the fifth set and Federer serving at deuce, a second rain delay occurred. I wondered later how Nadal must have felt as he walked back to the locker room. Surely, he must have been asking himself how the match could still be going on, and wondering why it was not over. It must have been awfully hard for him, while Federer was clearly growing more optimistic. They returned and proceeded to play some astounding tennis under the circumstances. The light was fading rapidly. The pressure was intense on both sides of the net. One of these two great men was going to record a singularly exhilarating victory, but the other was on his way to a heartbreaking setback.

At 3-4 in the fifth set, Nadal was break point down on his serve. Had he lost that point, Federer would have been serving for the match. But Nadal crowded Federer with a stinging first serve into the body on the forehand side. Federer’s return was relatively weak, and Nadal crunched an inside-out forehand that Federer could only scrape back. Nadal moved in quickly to put away a bounce smash. He held on for 4-4. At 4-5, Nadal served at 30-30, two points away from defeat. He got his first serve in, came in on Federer’s backhand, and forced the five-time defending champion to slice a lob long off the backhand.

It was soon 5-5, and Federer found himself 15-40 down . He released an ace on the first break point, attacked on the second to force a mishit pass from Nadal, and held on for 6-5. At 6-6, Federer was in the danger zone again, behind 0-30. He cracked an ace down the T, and eventually held on for 7-6.

That meant that Nadal was serving to save the match for the third time in the 14th game. He did not blink. He did not flinch. He refused to surrender. At 6-7,40-30, Nadal tried to put away a smash. He struck the overhead with all his might, but Federer displayed extraordinary touch, slicing a lob off the backhand down the line, lofting the ball into the corner. Nadal had to chase it down, driving his forehand deep to the Federer backhand. Federer tried to steer his shot to Nadal’s backhand, but the Spaniard ran around it and whipped a forehand inside out for a winner. He was euphoric. It was 7-7.

Once more, Federer drifted into a burdensome position. Serving at 7-7,15-40, he came up with yet another clutch play. He delivered his 25th and final ace of the contest to save that break point, then forced Nadal into a backhand passing shot mistake. Federer then saved a third break point with a brilliant service winner. But, down break point for the fourth time in this critical game, Federer drove a forehand approach down the middle but long. At long last, for the first time since late in the second set, Nadal had broken Federer.


Serving for the match with the sky dramatically dark, Nadal went to match point for the third time, only to have Federer pull off yet another spectacular play under pressure. Nadal hit a good wide slice serve to the backhand, the same serve that had worked so well throughout the battle. But Federer got over the top of the ball quickly and surely, driving his backhand crosscourt and almost out of reach. Nadal had no chance. At deuce, Nadal caught Federer off guard with an excellent first serve deep and wide to the forehand. Federer missed, and not narrowly.

It was 9:16 in the evening. Nadal was at match point for the fourth time. Federer got a midcourt ball on his forehand and tried to drive it crosscourt. His shot landed in the net. The record breaking four hour, 48 minute men’s final was over. Nadal had won 6-4, 6-4, 6-7 (5), 6-7 (8), 9-7. For the first time since Borg had done it in 1980, a man had won the French Open and Wimbledon in the same year.

Remarkably, Nadal had lost his serve only once in five long sets. He had fought off 12 of 13 break points Federer had against him. He had tenaciously stood his ground after Federer had willfully worked his way back into the match. Nadal had prevented Federer from becoming the first modern man to win at the All England Club six years in a row. And he had achieved his win in a match which historians will always hold in the highest regard.

Borg and McEnroe provided a better contrast in styles, with McEnroe attacking at every opportunity and pitting his superior skill at the net against Borg’s outstanding baseline skills, with Borg making certain to get in behind his first serve skillfully, forcing McEnroe into countless errors on backhand returns and passing shots. That was a match I thought I would never see surpassed. Now I am not so sure.

I have to say,though, that I don’t hesitate to put Nadal-Federer above Budge-Von Cramm, Laver-Rosewall and Pasarell-Gonzalez. Laver and Rosewall were all time great players who had waged one of the longest rivalries on record first in the wilderness of professional tennis and then on into the “Open Era”. But they were past their primes when they met in Dallas--- especially Laver. Budge, believed by authorities in his day to be the greatest player of that era, always recalled his duel with Von Cramm as his greatest. Budge came from two sets down and 1-4 in the fifth set to win. But it was not a Challenge Round Davis Cup contest and Von Cramm was not Fred Perry or Jack Kramer. And Gonzalez’s win over Pasarell (22-24,1-6, 16-14,6-3,11-9) was a first round match. It was a phenomenal victory for the 41-year-old former world champion, but Pasarell was not an all time great.

Here at Wimbledon in 2008 were the two best players in the world, at the peak of their powers, meeting for the third consecutive year in the final of the world’s premier tennis tournament. Furthermore, Nadal had toppled Federer in the 2006-2008 French Open finals. So the situation was unprecedented. These two men were meeting for the sixth time in a three year stretch in a major final. And all through the afternoon, through the rain delays, through the shifts in momentum, across the long hours, they pushed themselves to their absolute limits. The outcome was in doubt until Federer’s last forehand found the net.

I still have not completely made up my mind whether or not Nadal-Federer 2008 tops Borg-McEnroe 1980. But I do know this: I don’t expect to see a better tennis match in my lifetime.
 

Friday, June 20, 2008
 


Wimbledon 2008 Preview  - By Steve Flink

 

I have a feeling this Wimbledon is going to be the best we have had in a very long time. Among the men, there are three chief candidates who could walk away with the top honor, and a fourth who has a serious chance to take the title. Clearly, the “Big Three” of Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic are all primed for the occasion. Nadal has won five of his last six tournaments, sweeping through the field on the clay at Roland Garros and then stepping out onto the grass at Queen’s Club to win the tournament in London. He must like his chances.

But Federer has won 59 matches in a row on grass, and is in pursuit of a modern record of six championships in a row at the All England Club. He is a deeply prideful man who will want to reassert his supremacy after losing straight set matches to Djokovic in the semifinals of the Australian and to Nadal in Paris.

Djokovic now approaches every tournament he enters believing he can and probably should win it. He has been a semifinalist or better in every major since Roland Garros in 2007. And the fourth man who must be mentioned as a potential champion is Andy Roddick, the runner-up to Federer in 2003 and 2004. Roddick has beaten Federer, Nadal and Djokovic this season, and he is always a big threat on the lawns.

Let’s look at the draw. Federer will open against Dominik Hrbaty, a 30-year-old who is currently ranked No. 272 in the world. He is past his prime. Hrbaty has a 2-0 record against Federer (including a win over the Swiss in 2004 at Cincinnati), but this time around he will not worry Federer that much and the Swiss will prevail in straight sets. Federer should face the streaky yet dangerous Robin Soderling, the big hitting Swede, in the second round, and might well lose a set in that contest. But Soderling will not have the consistency on serve or off the ground to threaten Federer too long. The world No. 1 could well take on Gael Monfils in the third round, Monfils pushed Federer hard in a four set contest at Roland Garros in the semifinals, but his court positioning will be a problem if they meet on the grass. Federer in straight sets.

In the round of 16, Federer figures to play either Lleyton Hewitt or Fernando Gonzalez. He will handle either of them in three or possibly four sets, and that would take him into a quarterfinal with either Tomas Berdych or David Ferrer. Berdych would pose a larger threat, but Federer would be more than ready by then to handle the assignment. He will inevitably march into the semifinals in a confident frame of mind.

Waiting for him there will be Djokovic, who has been talking big coming into the tournament. Djokovic could meet Marat Safin in the second round but this year has been distressing for the two-time former Grand Slam tournament champion. Djokovic would win that battle in four sets. In the round of 16, he should confront the vastly improved Stanislas Wawrinka, the No. 13 seed. They met in the final of the Italian Open on clay, with Djokovic battling from behind to win in three sets. Djokovic could have some problems with Wawrinka again, but he would prevail in four sets.

In the quarterfinals, a number of men could take on Djokovic. The game’s most daunting server, Ivo Karlovic, should play 2006 Wimbledon semifinalist Marcos Baghdatis. I give that one to Karlovic in five sets. Meanwhile, No. 7 seed David Nalbandian should play the left-handed serve-and-volleyer Feliciano Lopez in the third round. Nalbandian--- always enigmatic--- would probably get through that one in four difficult sets, and would then meet Karlovic in the round of 16. Probably against my better judgment, I will pick Nalbandian to stop Karlovic in four sets, which would give him the right to face Djokovic in the quarters. When they met in the semifinals at Queen’s, Djokovic granted Nalbandian one game in two sets. This time, it would be more competitive but Djokovic would still be victorious in straight sets.

That would give us the semifinal everyone wants to see: Djokovic vs. Federer. They have met only once since Djokovic upset Federer in the
semifinals of the Australian Open--that was on the clay in Monte Carlo. After losing the first set and trailing by a service break in the second, Djokovic retired, claiming dizziness as his reason for quitting. This time, the two great players would stage a fantastic match. I would not expect many service breaks as two of the best in the business protect their deliveries stubbornly. I would look for at least two tie-breaks and possibly more. In the end, Federer’s capacity to come forward and volley with finality will make the slim difference in the outcome. Djokovic will counter with some stupendous backhand passing shots, and some impressive attacking as his own. But Federer will win 6-7, 7-5, 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 in a five set contest of the highest order.

Nadal may have a few anxious moments in the early rounds, but he will be ready. Ernest Gulbis, so admirable in reaching the French Open quarterfinals, could take on Nadal in the second round, but Nadal would get through that one in three or possibly four sets. In the round of 16, the No. 16 seed Radek Stepanek could well meet Nadal. His attacking tactics will keep the Spaniard off balance sporadically, but Nadal would advance in four sets for a place in the quarterfinals. I have a hard time guessing who will face Nadal in that round.

The No. 8 seed Richard Gasquet has a first round duel with the big serving Mardy Fish in the first round. That one has upset written all over it. Fish is comfortable and confident on the grass. He will have to shake off the effects of some sparkling backhand passing shots from the flamboyant Frenchman, but I see Fish winning that match in four sets, and moving on to a fourth round meeting with No. 12 seed Andy Murray. That would be a beauty, with Murray mixing things up off the ground and returning skillfully. Murray beats Fish in five sets, but can’t cope with the physicality of Nadal. He will make it reasonably close, but Nadal comes through in four.

I expect Roddick to be the man Nadal confronts in the semifinals. Roddick should square off against Davis Cup teammate James Blake in the round of 16. Roddick will serve to well on that court and defeat Blake in four sets. In the quarters, the seedings tell us the American will play No. 4 seed Nikolay Davydenko. But Davydenko has been less than stellar as of late. My guess is that Roddick will play either Paul-Henri Mathieu or Ivan Ljubicic in the quarters. Either way, Roddick moves through with a four set win.

Roddick was not at his best when he played a top of the line and commanding Nadal in the semifinals at Queen’s, and Nadal took that one 7-5, 6-4. I envision Roddick playing to a higher level at Wimbledon, and making more of a go of it. But, in the end, Nadal’s left-handed slice serve in the advantage court and his persistent returning and passing will give Roddick fits. Nadal in four sets.

So the stage would be set for a third consecutive Nadal-Federer final. Two years ago, Federer was too good, winning 6-0, 7-6, 6-7, 6-3. Nadal served for the second set and had a 3-1 lead in the second set tie-break but did not exploit those crucial openings. Federer was just too good on the grass. Last year, Federer stopped Nadal 7-6 (7), 4-6, 7-6 (3), 2-6, 6-2 in a classic showdown. Nadal lost his opening service game of the match and was not broken again until the middle of the fifth set. Federer saved himself with two clutch tie-break performances, and then held on gamely from 15-40 at 1-1 and 2-2 in the fifth set. Had Nadal converted in either of those critical situations, he probably would have been the champion. Federer served remarkably well down the stretch.

This year, Nadal will believe more fully in himself. He is playing at a considerably higher level. Federer will compete with quiet fury and will do everything in his power to retain his crown. But I think Nadal’s 6-1, 6-3, 6-0 triumph over Federer in the French Open final will have carry over implications. That was on clay and this one will be on grass, but Nadal will still be terribly difficult for Federer to contain. Nadal will become the first man since Bjorn Borg in 1980 to rule at Roland Garros and Wimbledon in the same year, winning 7-6(4),7-5, 4-6, 6-4 in first rate final.

And what of the women? Top seeded Ana Ivanovic, fresh from winning her first major at the French Open, will be eager to establish her authority on the grass as well. Ivanovic should advance with relative ease through the top quarter of the draw. She is due to meet Anna Chakvetadze--- the No. 8 seed--- in the quarters, but might end up facing No. 12 seed Patty Schnyder. I see Ivanovic moving on comfortably into the semifinals, but that will be the end of her journey. Serena Williams--- the two-time former Wimbledon champion--- has an excellent draw. I believe Serena--- the No. 6 seed-- will have a stern test with No. 4 Svetlana Kuznetsova in the last eight, but will win 7-5,7-6(4).

Then Williams would play Ivanovic in the semifinals. Off the ground, Ivanovic will hold her own with Serena in some fiercely contested rallies. But Serena’s serve will pull her through in three sets for a place in the final.

On the bottom half of the draw, look for No. 2 seed Jelena Jankovic to have a quarterfinal clash with No. 7 seed Venus Williams, the defending champion. They never fail to provide us with a fascinating contrast in styles, and Venus would come at Jankovic full force. Jankovic will answer by displaying her superb ball control and strategic acumen. It will go down to the wire, much like their U.S. Open quarterfinal last year. Venus won that one in a final set tie-break. This time around, Jankovic will come through in a similarly close contest.

Maria Sharapova and Elena Dementieva could well be on a collision course, likely to run into each other in the quarterfinals. The No. 3 seed Sharapova--- who started the year in such style by winning the Australian Open--- will be eager to capture a second Wimbledon title and happy to be back on the grass. Sharapova will defeat Dementieva in straight sets, setting up a semifinal appointment with Jankovic. Jankovic will give that match her all, but Sharapova will serve her off the court in the end and win in straight sets.

So that would give us a Sharapova-Serena Williams final. I have little doubt about the outcome of that match. Serena will return more persuasively. She will exploit her superior mobility. She will serve better than Sharapova, which is no mean feat. Serena Williams will a ninth Grand Slam tournament title, overcoming Sharapova 6-4, 7-5 in a well played final.

That is how I see it. Rafael Nadal takes the men’s crown. Serena Williams is the women’s champion. And all of us witness a tournament we will not soon forget.
 

 

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